Exploring and Eating in Edmonton

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“Two days ago, my mortgage holder (a Credit Union, no less) called and told me that after 22 years, I was no longer an “A-list” borrower, and they would not renew my mortgage. I have no credit cards, never late with a payment, never late with utilities, taxes, etc., etc., BUT, because of the ‘new’ mtg. rules, they could not renew my mtg. because two years ago (as a result of a series of family crises), I took a small 2nd mtg. (ridiculous rates, but I’ve met EVERY payment, etc. – the credit union wouldn’t ‘help’). My total debt is only the two mtgs. against the property and, together, they are less than 1/2 of my equity (compared to the assessed value). My son (who is on disability) lives with me and takes care of me (as I do him), and we share our expenses with our two limited incomes. I’ll be 73 in a couple of weeks, am not well, have been isolated at “home” since the beginning of March. None of that ‘counts’. Nor does it ‘count’ that for over 50 years, I’ve been involved in environmental and social justice issues, worked pretty much full time my whole life (never collected EI, even!), contributed to my community (have received awards), raised a family, supported many others in crisis. In a month, I, and my son, could be homeless. I don’t even have the strength to champion my own personal needs. To those of us that are experiencing the REALITY of the NOW – those living in corrupt care homes, or homeless, or helplessly addicted, or victims of genocide or poverty, or racism, what it’s “called” is moot. — from commenter ‘dda’ 30 May 2020, under the article, ‘Normal Is The Problem’, by Andrew Nikiforuk, The Tyee, 30 May 2020 Also see: A Confluence of Whammies: A Single Realtor (& Airbnb-host) with a dependent child, an elderly dependent parent, two lost tenants, and dwindling business is forced to sell their house (presumably at a loss) and take a $30,000 mortgage penalty. TD Bank charges $30,000 mortgage penalty to woman forced to sell home due to pandemic – 1 Jun 2020, CBC News. Your banker may seem like a friendly guy, but the banks will always look after themselves – first and last. – ed.

“If homeowners can just hold off selling, the Canadian housing market will emerge fine from its current “deep freeze”. According to a recent TD Economics housing forecast update, the market is expected to gradually recover from the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. After an anticipated “historic” plunge in sales in the month of April 2020, a “much stronger activity” is seen next year. A lot of that depends on whether homeowners can avoid distressed selling during this pandemic. “Absolutely key to our forecasts is the assumption that listings mirror sales by dropping substantially in the near-term and recovering gradually thereafter,” Rishi Sondhi, an economist with TD Economics, wrote. By holding off on selling, homeowners can do one thing for the market. “This puts a floor on prices and sustains relatively tight-supply demand balances across most markets, allowing for the resumption of positive price growth as provincial economies are re-opened,” Sondhi explained.” – excerpt from ‘Homeowners avoiding distressed selling key to Canadian housing market recovery: TD Economics’, Carlito Pablo, 1 May 2020, Georgia Straight No, folks, that ‘analysis’ is not from ‘The Onion’. Seems like the TD analysts have found a sure fire way of maintaining every bull market, forever… (it’s easy: just get sellers not to sell). It’s remarkable that this kind of ‘analysis’ can get parroted on & on without getting called out. Remember: Sellers aren’t competing with Buyers, they’re competing with other Sellers. How many Vancouver RE speculators (essentially each and every buyer for the last 10-15 years) are going to realize their thus-far-paper profits? We are already seeing many anecdotal examples of people who bought in 2016 or later taking losses on resales. – vreaa

The US Fed blinked. Actually it did’t blink, it closed it’s eyes and assumed the fetal position. After talking tough about backing off on buying the US Government debt (the definition of ponzi btw), it stood pat and said..”we will..we will…keep buying! forget what we said earlier this year”. Actually it worked out ok for me, as my poor preferred shares which had been beaten into mush caught a bid. However it did bring interest rates down a notch now that everyone sees the Fed for the blow-hard-but-do-nothing that it is. The Canadian bond market which is tied by it’s apron strings to the US one also got a bounce and rates dropped. Now how about September? What are we looking at. Well so far it looks to em like we are going to get some weakness in the HPI and averages for the month. I see mid range homes (would be super upper end anywhere else) $1.2-$1.6 M selling for a 4-8 % below asking. Of course the asking prices are pretty crazy, made up numbers , but that didn’t deter the delusional buyers before. I have said before that if September didn’t show some weakness that I would probably suspend or close this blog but it looks like you may have to put up with me a bit longer. 

Unless negotiation is successful Monday night, Metro Vancouver will face a SkyTrain shutdown starting at 5 a.m. on Tuesday, December 10. Photo by Dan Toulgoet Many Metro Vancouver  commuters may be on edge Monday wondering if car-mageddon will kick in Tuesday if there’s a SkyTrain shutdown. With the union discontinuing media statements and negotiations under a media blackout, The Tri-City News reached out to TransLink to find out what’s going on. For now, it appears talks are ongoing as both sides in the dispute try to reach an agreement before the union’s deadline strike beginning Tuesday morning. In its latest press release, CUPE Local 7000 said it is committed to negotiating for a new contract at the bargaining table and reaching a deal with no disruption of service. However, due to concerns about TransLink statements to the media, the union stated in a press release it will be making no more media statements until further notice. “If no agreement is reached, job action will begin with a full shutdown from Tuesday through Thursday,” according to a press release. CUPE Local 7000 represents approximately 900 SkyTrain workers who provide service as SkyTrain attendants and control operators as well as administration, maintenance and technical staff. Its last contract expired Aug. 31. The union is negotiating with the British Columbia Rapid Transit Co. In its press release, TransLink stated it “remains committed to getting a deal done. We will continue bargaining until the last moment to avoid this unnecessary and disruptive job action.” The last SkyTrain strike was a single-day shutdown more than 20 years ago. Additionally, Coast Mountain Bus Company has announced that it will not be increasing bus service in response to the planned strike, citing their “operational constraints and labour considerations.” Here are five things you need to know based on TransLink’s answers to questions: 1. Are there any talks scheduled today between BCRTC and CUPE 7000? Yes. Talks will continue as long as needed today (Monday). 2. What is the union is asking for? We are respecting the process and not talking about the contents of the offer at this stage. 3. Why can’t SkyTrain operate with excluded staff? While trains are automated, we need staff in the control room telling trains what to do. We can’t operate the system without these people. 4. How will you be communicating a shutdown? Customers should assume the strike is happening and prepare for it, even if there’s a chance for a last-minute deal. We will send a statement and use social media should job action be averted. We will be sending some info for customers later today. It’s important to note while all other services will be running, there will be no additional bus service. It’s regular operations. 5. What time is the shutdown to take place Tuesday if no agreement is reached? The shutdown will be effective at the start of the service day. No trains will be leaving the yard Tuesday morning if there’s no deal. If no agreement is reached, the system-wide shutdown affecting the Millennium and Expo lines (including the Evergreen Extension to Port Moody and Coquitlam) is scheduled to begin Tuesday at 5 a.m. with normal service set to resume by Friday at 5 a.m. Buses, the Canada Line, SeaBus, West Coast Express and HandyDart will not be affected. With files from Elana Shepert/Vancouver Is Awesome