Business in Vancouver, Author at VREG

Struggles with housing shortages affecting B.C.’s small towns

ByBusiness in Vancouver November 16, 2024November 16, 2024

A shortage of affordable housing has led to a growing crisis, and it’s taken shape with a tent city in downtown Sechelt that sprung up in recent years. Catherine Leach thought she would be pushed out of British Columbia’s Sunshine Coast when her landlord decided to sell her home. “I got super lucky that one of the few apartment buildings opened up and I got a suite in that building,” she says. “I would have had to leave the Coast. It was that close. And it’s not just about people having a home to live in. It’s about an affordable home and having homes so that people can actually work here.” Ms. Leach is executive director of the Sunshine Coast Community Services Society, a large 50-year-old multiservices nonprofit that serves a scattered population of 32,000 people along 100 kilometres of coastline. The Sunshine Coast is about a half-hour ferry ride from Horseshoe Bay in West Vancouver, and it’s long been an idyllic draw for residents of Metro Vancouver who want a quieter, less expensive seaside lifestyle. But a shortage of affordable housing has led to a growing crisis in the small community, and it’s taken shape with a tent city in downtown Sechelt that sprung up in recent years. “It’s impacting everybody in every way – that’s how bad it’s become,” she says of B.C.’s housing crisis. Nonprofit workers on the front line know that people aren’t just sleeping in tents or in shelters and living in the rough. There are hidden homeless people living in their cars, in wooded areas, sleeping in boats and on couches, in motel rooms, and even in short-term rentals, because they’ve been squeezed out of the housing market. Low-income groups such as seniors are particularly impacted. Marc White, chair of the Older Persons and Elders Advisory Committee, which advises Vancouver city staff and council, has heard reports of seniors sleeping in the Vancouver airport because it’s safer. “I think it’s all over [the province],” says Dr. White, who is Clinical Assistant Professor with the Department of Family Practice at the University of British Columbia. “Because when you look at 43 per cent of the people on the BC Housing wait list, they are 55 and older, and half of those are experiencing homelessness for the first time as a senior – and that is incredible.” He cites a recent Statistics Canada report that shows B.C.’s hidden homelessness rate was at 17.7 per cent in 2021. People had been asked if they’d ever had to live somewhere temporarily because they had nowhere else to go. Considering the rents B.C. seniors are paying, it’s no wonder. “Right now, based on census data, there are 14,000 [Vancouver] seniors paying more than 30 per cent of their household income on rent in the private market, and 5,100 households spending 50 per cent of their household income on rent,” he says. The Sechelt encampment is located near the Sunshine Coast’s only year-round homeless shelter and a transitional housing project with health and social services. There aren’t enough beds or services, so the community is pulling together. The Sunshine Coast Community Services Society is soon breaking ground on a striking new housing project by lead architect Jesse Garlick of Studio 531 Architecture. Part of the inspiration behind the U-shaped design, says Ms. Leach, was to create an inward sense of safety. The building will include 35 units of housing for single women and women with children, in response to the statistic that 59 per cent of the Coast’s children are living with a single parent who is living below the poverty line. Ms. Leach says the project, in partnership with BC Housing, is six years in the making. As executive director of Kitsilano Neighbourhood House, she was also involved in that redevelopment, and she learned that support for vulnerable people starts in their own communities. “If there was any wish for me – and the government knows this, everybody knows this: fund projects that are more complex that are actually going to affect change. Like, don’t continue to just put very targeted, particularly very vulnerable people all jammed together in one location and walk away. Don’t do that any more.” Their crisis is an extension of the Vancouver crisis, but they don’t have the same resources to address it, says Kelly Foley, Sunshine Coast regional housing co-ordinator for Cover the Coast, a local affordable housing society. She co-authored a 2023 assessment needs report that shows crime, particularly violent crime, increased between 2016 and 2021, with a major spike in violent crime in 2020. “Because we are such a bedroom community to Vancouver, the cost of housing in Vancouver has certainly had an impact here,” says Ms. Foley. “You combine that with older adults moving here and we are in a tough situation, because we have a lack of working-age adults that can’t afford to live in our community, and who could help support those people.” Half the population of the Coast is older than 55, and about one-third are over 65, she says. As well, the average household income is lower than the B.C. average. People are fearful of the sudden changes they are seeing, particularly in downtown Sechelt, says Ms. Foley, who has met with residents of the encampment. “What I’m hearing is that there are people who are living in tents, who are very vulnerable, and also there’s

National home sales surge in October

ByBusiness in Vancouver November 15, 2024November 15, 2024

The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in October rose 30 per cent compared with a year ago, marking a shift from the market’s holding pattern. On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales rose 7. The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in October rose 30 per cent compared with a year ago, marking a shift from the market’s holding pattern. On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales rose 7.7 per cent from September, as 44,041 residential properties changed hands last month across Canada. The association said rising home sales activity was broad based, with the Greater Toronto Area and British Columbia’s Lower Mainland recording double-digit increases in October. CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart called the jump in sales a “surprise,” even as the Bank of Canada continues to lower its key interest rate. The central bank has lowered its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market. Jason Ralph, broker of record for Royal LePage Team Realty in Ottawa, said activity often picks up in the fall, but surpassed his expectations last month. Still, he said the market rebound seems to be happening gradually, rather than all at once. He attributed that trend to the Bank of Canada’s messaging surrounding its rate cut cycle. “There’s not going to be this massive rush to the market like we saw in the pandemic. That was an anomaly,” said Ralph. “The 50-basis-point drop was enough to push some people on the sidelines into the market where they found it enticing enough to jump in, but it wasn’t that massive wave that everybody’s waiting on because the messaging is, ‘We’re lowering it and we’re likely going to lower it again.'” Cathcart said the sales increase last month was more likely related to the surge in new listings that hit the market in September. That month saw a 4.8 per cent increase in new homes on the market, pushing supply to some of the highest levels seen since mid-2022. “There probably won’t be another rush of new supply like that until next spring, and at that point, mortgage rates should be close to their expected lows, as well,” said Cathcart in a press release. “With that in mind, you can think of the October numbers as a sort of preview for what we might expect to see next year.” CREA chair James Mabey added that October’s strong sales numbers “suggest buyers have been in the market since rates began to fall in early summer, but they were waiting for the right property to come up for sale, which didn’t happen in a big way until September.” “The extent to which that will be able to continue between now and next spring will depend on the number of listings coming onto the market,” he said. In October, the number of newly listed properties was down 3.5 per cent month-over-month. The association said the national pullback was led by a drop in new supply in Greater Toronto. There were 174,458 properties listed for sale across the country at the end of the month, up 11.4 per cent from a year earlier but still below historical averages for that time of year. The national average sale price for October amounted to $696,166, up six per cent compared with a year earlier. Ralph said that with property prices expected to increase amid more demand, would-be sellers are growing more confident to list, while potential buyers are feeling more comfortable paying current prices. “Buyers have been sort of going, ‘Well, where’s my deal?’ And sellers have been going, ‘Well, I still want my price.’ So we’ve been having a little bit of a game between buyers and sellers,” he said. “I think we’re seeing a little bit more movement as people understand that as rates come down, prices are steady and probably going to go back up.” BMO senior economist Robert Kavcic said the sales figures show Canada’s housing market “is finding some life.” “Sales volumes have bounced from last year’s lows, prices have stabilized across many regions and outright buyers’ markets are disappearing,” he said in a note. “To be fair, last October and November were very soft after accounting for seasonality, but it’s clear that activity has risen with more selection and lower borrowing costs. Price reductions across some segments have also allowed the market to clear better as the ‘bid-ask’ spread narrows.” This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 15, 2024. Sammy Hudes, The Canadian Press

mortgage | North

Is your mortgage more restrictive than you know?

ByBusiness in Vancouver November 15, 2024November 15, 2024

Collateral-charge mortgages might have a bad rep in some quarters but they are not inherently bad products. But many people aren’t aware of what they’ve signed up for. In today’s uncertain interest-rate environment, homeowners want the option to make a change to their mortgage and shop around for the best terms and rates, especially at renewal time. With economists expecting several more central bank rate cuts, and 60 per cent of all outstanding mortgages coming up for renewal over the next two years, mortgage pricing in Canada is poised to get even more competitive as banks look to lure clients from their existing lenders. But when shopping around, one product homeowners might want to steer clear of is a collateral-charge mortgage, which comes with restrictions around switching, whether at renewal or any other time. A collateral-charge mortgage, also known as a readvanceable mortgage, is a type of loan that essentially bundles together your mortgage and a line of credit, based on the amount of your home equity. When a lender registers this type of mortgage, they’ll do so for an amount up to 125 per cent of the home’s assessed value. That extra amount then gives the borrower the ability to tap into their home’s equity either right away, if they’ve made more than a 20 per cent down payment, or as it grows over time – without having to apply and take on a separate borrowing vehicle such as the popular home equity line of credit (HELOC). With a regular mortgage, the lender registers only the amount that the home is worth, minus the down payment made by the borrower. Collateral mortgages are offered by Canada’s biggest lenders. In fact, many Canadians may be surprised to learn that some big banks – such as TD and Tangerine – only offer collateral-charge mortgages. Based on TD’s enormous market share alone, with $266.4-billion in residential mortgages as of the second quarter of 2024, there’s a significant number of borrowers out there with one. But the big downside of a collateral-charge mortgage is that they can’t be transferred to a new lender like a conventional mortgage – the mortgage must be fully discharged first, meaning the current lender has legally taken it off its books. Most banks won’t do this unless the mortgage has been paid off in full, so the borrower will need a lawyer – and pay additional fees in the ballpark of $2,000 – to break the contract. Sometimes a new lender will cover these costs for the borrower, but that’s not guaranteed. Over all, it adds another layer of complexity and cost for someone looking to make a switch. The other risk that comes with a collateral-charge mortgage is that it can make it hard to access other types of financing, such as a second mortgage or HELOC, from other banks. This is because more than 100 per cent of the borrower’s home – typically their largest asset – is already tied up in their mortgage with no financial wiggle room. Not having these options can come as a shock for someone who didn’t realize they were in this type of mortgage to begin with. Collateral-charge mortgages might have a bad rep in some quarters but they are not inherently bad products. They provide borrowers who want to access their equity with a streamlined, cheaper way to do so. This money can be used for anything – renovations, buying a car or paying for school, for example. But borrowers should be aware and accept the associated risks and restrictions and too often, what we’ve experienced when working with brokerage clients is that they are not. Unfortunately, it’s the mortgage shoppers who are most motivated by the best rate or get a big bank mortgage that may unknowingly end up in a collateral mortgage and restricting their options. In today’s volatile rate environment, that’s an oversight few of us can afford. Penelope Graham is the director of content at Ratehub.ca .

Immigration cuts will help housing gap

ByBusiness in Vancouver November 15, 2024November 15, 2024

OTTAWA — The federal government is overestimating the impact its cuts to immigration will have on the country’s housing shortage, the Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer said in a new report. OTTAWA — The federal government is overestimating the impact its cuts to immigration will have on the country’s housing shortage, the Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer said in a new report. In the analysis published Friday, the PBO said its projections still indicate the country’s housing gap should fall by 45 per cent, assuming the Liberal government’s own population projections in its immigration plan are accurate. The PBO isn’t entirely convinced they are, saying “we judge that there is significant risk” to the demographic projections the government made in its 2025-27 immigration levels plan. The PBO cautioned its model assumed some non-permanent residents, whose permits or visas would expire and not be renewed under the new plan, will actually leave the country. “Both our estimated reduction in household formation and the housing gap under the (immigration levels plan) are uncertain and likely represent upper-bound estimates,” the PBO warned. In October, the Liberal government announced it was cutting the number of permanent residents allowed into the country over the next three years. The plan expects to see Canada’s population decline by 0.2 per cent in 2025 and 2026, marking the first time Canada would see an annual decline in population, the PBO said. The PBO now estimates Canada needs to build another 1.2 million homes by 2030 to close the housing gap. In its report Friday morning, the PBO said the revised immigration plan will reduce that gap by 534,000 units — or 45 per cent — by 2030. The government’s projections, factoring in its new immigration targets, suggested the population estimates would reduce demand for housing by 670,000 units by 2027, well above the PBO’s estimates and three years earlier than the PBO’s timeline. “This difference likely reflects several factors, such as the assumed age, region and household structure of the (non-permanent resident) outflows projected under the (immigration levels plan), as well as the time horizon and counterfactual population projection,” the PBO wrote. In a statement, Immigration Minister Marc Miller’s office said the PBO report confirms the government’s immigration levels plan will reduce the housing supply gap, and that the report’s projections are in line with the department’s own expectations regarding the housing supply gap for this year. “While an adjustment in immigration levels is helping to reduce the strain on our housing supply, it is also true that immigration and newcomers to Canada will continue to have an important role to play in helping us grow the housing supply,” Miller’s office said. “Immigrants are not to blame for the housing crisis and they, like everyone who lives in Canada whether temporarily or permanently, deserve to be set up for success while they are.” This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 15, 2024. Nick Murray, The Canadian Press