What Comes After Uncertainty? The Next Phase in BC’s Housing Market
What Comes After Uncertainty? The Next Phase in BC’s Housing Marke?
What Comes After Uncertainty? The Next Phase in BC’s Housing Marke?
Canadians account for the largest group of international tourists in the United States, and 40% of all foreign visitors to Florida alone. In 2024, they spent an estimated $20.5 billion USD stateside, which is why, according to the U.S. Travel Association, even a 10% drop in Canadian visitors could result in a loss of $2.1 billion in spending and 14,000 jobs. But the annual spending and visitation are rapidly changing, and it’s no longer just about boycotting American products or avoiding U.S. politics. The deepening rift between Canada and the United States—driven by policy shifts, travel restrictions, and economic uncertainty—has many snowbirds rethinking their winter plans. Increasingly, they’re packing up, selling off their U.S. real estate, and looking to invest further south for their seasonal migrations. What Is a Snowbird? Commonly associated with Canadians, “snowbirds” are retirees over the age of 65 who spend many months (approximately up to 6 months) out of the year in warmer climates, typically during the harsh winter months. They may rent or, more often, own a property, such as a vacation home, to stay in. Why Are Snowbirds Leaving the U.S.? For decades, Canadian snowbirds have flocked to the United States to escape the winter months and have become the largest group of foreign investors in U.S. real estate. Approximately 1 million Canadians are reported to own vacation properties in the country, with the most in Florida (27%), California (11%), and Arizona (11%). Other popular states include Texas, Hawaii, Louisiana, South Carolina, and New Mexico, reflecting the widespread appeal of warm-weather destinations. The Canadian Snowbird Visa Act was initially proposed in June 2019, allowing snowbirds over the age of 50 to extend their visitation from 182 days (nearly 6 months) to 240 days (8 months) per year. However, this bipartisan bill has yet to be passed by the American Congress. Meanwhile, Canadians and foreign visitors to the United States had to wait for the proposed Trump administration’s travel policy, which was officially enacted on April 11, 2025. While Canadian nonimmigrants may be exempted from registering their fingerprints at the border, they must still report to the United States Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) if their intended visit is over 30 days, under this new policy. The antagonism around the visa policy, combined with increasing scrutiny and bureaucratic hurdles, has made long-term planning uncertain for many retirees. Beyond visa hurdles, the Canada-U.S. tax treaty that helped avoid double taxation for many snowbirds may not be enough incentive for them to invest, as the ongoing tariff war raises questions about the long-term viability of U.S. real estate. The political climate has even worsened with controversial rhetoric, including suggestions of America annexing Canada, which has offended many Canadians and further chilled cross-border sentiment. Unsurprisingly, more and more snowbirds are opting to sell their American properties to fly back home or invest elsewhere. This trend is now visibly disrupting real estate markets in snowbird-heavy regions like Florida and Arizona, which are experiencing a sharp increase in home listings from Canadian owners. Where Will Snowbirds Venture Next?
Currently, the R2 Marine Drive RapidBus is a west-east route serving the North Shore, running between Park Royal in West Vancouver and Phibbs bus exchange in the District of North Vancouver, with a key connection to the SeaBus terminal and Lonsdale bus exchange. Starting in 2027, TransLink will extend the R2 RapidBus from its existing easternmost terminus of Phibbs bus exchange to Burnaby. Its route will be extended southward, across the Ironworkers Memorial Bridge to provide transfer opportunities with two SkyTrain stations — Brentwood Town Centre Station on the Millennium Line and Metrotown Station, the RapidBus route’s new southern terminus, on the Expo Line. It will also connect with the R5 Hastings Street RapidBus, and provide a new way to reach the BCIT Burnaby campus. This expansion of the R2 service was made possible by a key decision earlier this month, following the endorsement by TransLink’s board and the Mayors’ Council of new measures to increase fares, parking taxes, and property taxes. These changes aim not only to avoid service cuts — offering an interim solution to the transit authority’s fiscal cliff — but also to expand and enhance transit services. In addition to the new revenue raised by TransLink, the provincial government has also committed to providing new interim operating funding of $312 million through 2027. Based on TransLink’s newly released ridership statistics, the existing R2 running between Park Royal and Phibbs bus exchange recorded 1.944 million boardings in 2024, with averages of 5,700 per weekday, 5,000 per Saturday, and 4,000 per Sunday/holiday. This is slightly down from 1.965 million in 2023, with averages of 5,800 per weekday, 5,050 per Saturday, and 4,100 per Sunday/holiday. Currently, the R2 is TransLink’s 42nd busiest bus route out of 195 across Metro Vancouver, and ranks fifth out of the six RapidBus routes. While the precise extended R2 route has yet to be finalized, after making its bridge crossing, the extended RapidBus is expected to run along Hastings Street to reach Willingdon Avenue for the remaining journey to Metrotown. There is already strong ridership demand on the corridor between Phibbs bus exchange and Metrotown via Ironworkers Memorial Bridge, Hastings Street, and Willingdon Avenue. In 2024, the No. 130 Metrotown Station/Phibbs Exchange bus route was TransLink’s 20th busiest, with 3.256 million annual boardings — averaging 10,200 on weekdays, 7,000 on Saturdays, and 5,200 on Sundays/holidays. This is up from 2023, when the route saw 3.181 million boardings, with daily averages of 10,000 on weekdays, 7,100 on Saturdays, and 5,300 on Sundays/holidays. The No. 222 Metrotown Station/Phibbs Exchange — the express bus equivalent of the No. 130, running on the same route with limited stops during peak hours only — recorded about 950,000 annual boardings in 2024, with averages of 3,800 per weekday. This is up from 912,000 in 2023 and 668,000 in 2022. Currently, it is TransLink’s 80th busiest bus route. During optimal traffic conditions without any issues on the bridge crossing, the end-to-end travel times for the No. 130 and No. 222 are currently about 35 minutes and 45 minutes, respectively, during peak hours. Similarly, the end-to-end travel time on the existing R2 within the North Shore is roughly 40 minutes. The funding decision earlier this month also enables TransLink to conduct detailed design and planning work to launch three new Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) lines. An initial public consultation for the King George Boulevard BRT and Langley-Haney Place BRT was conducted in early 2025. In Summer 2025, TransLink will launch a separate initial public consultation on upgrading the R2 RapidBus to a Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) standard, including an opportunity for input for the interim move of extending this RapidBus route to Metrotown. The proposed BRT standard includes dedicated bus-only lanes, traffic signal priority, and other transit-priority measures, along with enhanced passenger amenities such as specialized shelters resembling those found at Light Rail Transit stations. Another public consultation in Fall 2025 will focus on the road design changes to support the King George Boulevard BRT and Langley-Haney Place BRT. TransLink is also expected to consider longer-term rapid transit solutions such as Light Rail Transit and SkyTrain for the route between the North Shore and Metrotown. To better support the R2 RapidBus/BRT and other new and improved bus services, TransLink is also in the process of considering a major expansion and redesign of the bus exchange at Metrotown Station to “potentially increase bus service capacity as our system expands in the coming years.”
Navigating the Canadian real estate market in 2025 is no simple feat. Whether you’re a first-time buyer or a homeowner preparing to sell, this year presents unique challenges and opportunities shaped by economic recovery, technological advancements, and evolving buyer preferences. Here, we break down the key strategies to help you succeed—from securing financing and leveraging…
If the older generation can comfortably contribute to their offspring’s home down payment, it often allows families to remain closer together, rather than new homeowners having to move far from the city in search of more affordable housing options. Intergenerational aid will likely continue, as 54% of millennials have indicated that they expect to provide the same assistance to their own children in the future. Additionally, everyone can rest assured in the long-term security that building equity offers new homeowners, so both parents and their adult children have peace of mind for the future. A Brief Window of Opportunity However, buyers should be warned that this time of opportunity won’t be around forever. With very sparse sales in the last couple of years, many development projects in the GTA have been delayed indefinitely. By 2026, we can expect that new housing inventory will stop coming in, and future buyers will only have today’s options available to them. When that time comes, we will no longer experience a buyer’s market, but the tables will be turned, and we will be in the midst of a significant seller’s market instead. It will also be much harder for first-time home buyers to enter the market in the future. The government plans to build over 200,000 rental units in the next 2 decades, which means that most developers will stop building condos and pivot toward building rental properties instead. This means that future buyers will only be able to purchase resale condos or new houses (attached or detached) if they want to become homeowners. The limited supply of resale condos and pricier new dwellings will be added challenges that many buyers will face. If you want to seize your limited opportunity today but are unsure where to start, our First-Time Home Buyers’ Seminar is perfect for you! You’ll learn everything you need to know to prepare for the financial obligations, find the perfect property, and buy with ease and security. At our in-person seminar, you will also get to ask any questions you may have with our experienced, caring, and award-winning agents. RSVP today!
Buying a condo before it’s built—often called buying “off-plan” or “pre-sale”—can seem like a smart move. Early access, lower prices, and VIP incentives are all part of the allure. But for many buyers, what starts as an exciting opportunity ends in costly frustration. Before you sign on the dotted line, here’s what you need to know. 1. Construction Delays Are the Rule—Not the Exception That “anticipated completion date” on the brochure? Treat it as a guess, not a guarantee. Developers often face delays due to labor shortages, permitting issues, supply chain bottlenecks, or weather disruptions. Contracts usually allow for extensions, sometimes for years. If your life plans hinge on that closing date—renting out your home, relocating, or locking in financing—you could be in trouble. Protect yourself by negotiating a firm outside completion date and understanding your rights if the project is delayed beyond that window. 2. Financing Isn’t Guaranteed You won’t get a mortgage today for a home that doesn’t exist yet. Most lenders issue final approvals within 90–120 days of completion, not years in advance. Between now and then, your financial situation, credit score, or interest rates could change—affecting your ability to qualify. In a declining market, even the appraised value could come in lower than your contract price, leaving you short on funding. Smart buyers stress-test their finances, secure long rate holds if possible, and build in a financing condition if the developer allows it. 3. Your Deposit May Be at Risk Pre-construction deposits are typically 5%–20% of the purchase price and can be tied up for years. If your financing falls through or you can’t close, you could lose that money. Even worse, if the developer cancels the project, you might face delays getting your deposit back—or lose interest income on those funds. Always ensure your deposit is held in trust or protected by deposit insurance. And be crystal clear on the terms under which it’s refundable. 4. The Market May Shift Beneath You Pre-sales lock you into today’s pricing. But the real estate market—and your personal finances—can change dramatically before you ever take possession. If prices fall or interest rates spike, you may regret locking in that number. Worse, if you planned to flip the unit, shrinking demand or oversupply could derail your exit strategy. This isn’t a problem if you’re buying to live. But if you’re banking on appreciation, understand the gamble you’re taking. 5. Not All Developers Are Created Equal A glossy presentation doesn’t guarantee execution. Some developers have a history of late completions, poor workmanship, or walking away from projects entirely. If your builder cuts corners or fails to deliver on what was promised, your options may be limited—and expensive. Research their track record. Visit past projects. Ask about their warranty coverage. And avoid builders without a long, successful completion history. 6. What You See Isn’t Always What You Get Floorplans can change. Windows get smaller. Ceilings get lower. The high-end appliances in the showroom suite might be swapped for cheaper models by move-in. Unless your contract includes specific specs, you could end up with something very different than what you thought you bought. Push for detailed finish schedules and insist on the right to inspect your unit before final closing. 7. The Contract Isn’t on Your Side Pre-sale agreements are written by the developer’s legal team—and they’re not there to protect you. These contracts often include “sunset clauses” that allow the builder to cancel the deal if construction isn’t completed by a certain date, without penalty. Other clauses allow design changes, material substitutions, and possession delays. Hire an experienced real estate lawyer to review every word. It’s not just about what’s in the contract—it’s about what’s missing. Final Thoughts Buying a pre-sale condo isn’t wrong—it’s just risky. If you understand those risks and structure the deal carefully, it can still be a smart move. But go in eyes open. Don’t let the showroom dazzle distract you from the fine print. The more you prepare, the better your chances of turning that empty blueprint into a solid financial win.